A HN discussion questioning the narrative that software engineers are being replaced by AI, noting that current LLMs sti

What evidence or statistics or reasoning backs this up?

Background: I see a lot of posts on the HN frontpage about AI, in fact it's difficult to find any posts that aren't about AI. As a software engineer, I use LLMs extensively to help with my job. I also see that these machines are clearly not good enough to be left alone (for example Codex) to design or write anything that has more than one user.

Despite this, I see countless comments here of people, highly upvoted, saying that they recommend getting out of software engineering, that engineers will all be replaced, etc. and I simply have not seen it. I haven't seen AIs capable of engineering, I haven't seen LLMs that don't ignore prompts and do whatever they have been trained instead, etc.

So, where are SWE's being replaced? What is the time-frame we're looking at? Is the "Claude Code will take your job" just Claude marketing, or is it real in any capacity?